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- 2021 Ishalini's Death
- 2021 Port City Bill
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- 20th Amendment
- 46th session of the Human Rights Council
- 50 days Political upheaval in Sri Lanka
- About
- Ama H. Vanniarachchy
- Archaeology
- Archaeology
- Article
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- Cultural
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- Dr. Sarath Weerasekera
- Easter Sunday attacks
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- දෙව්සිරි පී. හේවාවිදාන
Shock revelation on how Sri Lanka’s CPC ended up with billions...
ECONOMYNEXT – Shocking details of how state-run Ceylon Petroleum Corporation, which has no foreign exchange revenues to speak of ended up with billions of US dollars of debt every time the central bank printed money to create forex shortages has now been revealed.
Sri Lanka has been engaging in a long time practice of barring the CPC from buying dollars, even if the firm collected rupees from market-pricing oil, every time the central bank printed money and created currency pressure. Instead, the corporation was forced to borrow dollars.
Analysts have dubbed the policy blunder which leads to tens of billions of rupees in losses every time the rupee falls, a Nick Leeson type of action, named after a derivative dealer who had unhedged position.
K D R Olga, Secretary to the Ministry of Energy has now revealed how the policy blunder took place and CPC did not buy oil with rupees despite having rupees in its bank accounts collected rupees from customers.
The central bank recently asked the CPC to find the rupees from customers and pay for oil instead of running losses and financing them with bank credit adding to debt and interest rate pressure in the country.
Anardimuth Practice
“This is not practice (kra-mer-vey-dher-yer) that prevailed all this time,” K D R Olga, Secretary to the Ministry of Energy revealed in a talk show hosted by Sri Lanka’s privately-run Hiru TV.
“For many, many years (anar-di-muth kar-ler-yer-ker si-tter), that is not what happened. It has now come to a crunch (hira wellar thi-yenar prush-ner-yer).”
“For many years when we (CPC) was not in a financial crisis, we bought oil on a credit basis. We have imported oil even on 360-day credit.”
Olga said the CPC bought oil on 360-day credit, 270-day credit, 180-day and 90-day credit.
“That was the time when we had a good balance sheet,” she explained. “The oil was imported on a letter of credit.
“When the letter of credit fell due, in order to maintain a stable exchange rate, instead of settling it – even when the CPC had rupees in its accounts – that was turned into a dollar debt.
“The two state banks will settle the LC and turn it into a debt of the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation. That has turned into a dollar debt of over three billion US dollars.”
Olga said the CPC debt in rupee terms was now around 750 billion rupees (3.7 billion US dollars).
Who is the Nick Leeson?
Olga did not say who ordered the CPC which has no dollar revenues to speak of (except some aviation oil sales), to either import oil on suppliers credit or turn them into debt.
However analysts have shown that every time the central bank ran inflationary policy (printed money despite having a pegged exchange) and created currency pressure, the CPC dollar debt went up.
Analysts have dubbed these un-hedged dollar exposures a Nick Leeson type of financial blunder.
Authorities have not only indebted the CPC to banks but the country had also borrowed from other nations to buy oil.
Sri Lanka has an outstanding loan from Iran over oil purchased during a currency crisis decades past.
State banks either paid the dollars with their NRFC deposits, or had to borrow the dollars from other parties and the CPC at a margin.
The CPC is now planning to get a 500 million US dollar credit line from India.
When imports are financed by a financial account inflow the external current account deficit widens.
Sri Lanka’s Mercantilists, then jump up and say there is an external current account deficit or a “twin deficit” and blame it for the country’s economic woes, critics say.
Nick Leeson Losses
The CPC also makes a massive forex loss every time the rupee falls.
Economists and analysts have long called for market pricing of oil so that customers of petroleum utilities pay the higher price, which will reduce their disposable incomes to make non-oil imports.
Critics have pointed out that in 2018, when then Finance Minister Mangala Samaraweera market priced oil through a price formula, the central bank printed money to target an output gap and created forex shortages, the CPC was against forced to borrow.
However the practice of borrowing dollars sabotages the entire price formula.
In the 2018 currency crisis the CPC placed the money in state banks via repurchase agreements, which were in turn loaned to other customers who made non-oil imports.
In 2018, the CPC made an 80 billion rupee forex loss. It also has to keep paying interest on fuel which has long been sold, sometimes at a profit.
Officials have said in 2021 the CPC made a loss of 83 billion rupees. How much of this is due to forex depreciation and interest on the Nick Leeson loans is not known.
When the rupee falls in 2022, the CPC will also make large losses.
The central bank has said that state banks are endangered by CPC borrowings and asked the CPC to collect rupees from customers and pay for the dollars.
Now suppliers are no longer willing to give CPC credit, with Sri Lanka’s sovereign credit downgraded to ‘CC’.
“Now suppliers only give oil to us if we pay upfront (kalin mudal gew-woth),” Olga said. “The payment for tomorrows ship has to be made. For that the needed rupees the CPC has prepared.”
However the cabinet of ministers this week had decided not to increase fuel prices.
If the losses are financed by credit, Sri Lanka’s interest rates will have to go up further.
If money is printed to keep rates down or the state-banks borrow from the central bank standing liquidity facility to finance the CPC loss, further foreign exchange pressure and reserve losses will take place, taking Sri Lanka closer to default, analysts warn. (Colombo/Feb24/2022)
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Namo, Namo, Cheena! – Lucine Rajakarunanayake
The Island cartoon yesterday by Jeffrey Kelaart stuck more than a nail in my heart.
The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce now offers its members the opportunity to purchase AstraZeneca Covid vaccines for Rs, 5,000 each. This is the alarm that most of those, like me, have obtained the first dose of its many weeks, and nearly two months ago, face today.
Are we moving to a huge fraud – a Vaccine Black Market – as the country suffers the swelling spread of the Covid pandemic?
Meanwhile, the GMOA, which has been largely silent on the questionable actions of the government and official health authorities on the Covid issues, has also called for a National Vaccine Strategy in the current crisis. Timely no doubt. An action that should have been thought of by the government, at least when the second wave of the pandemic began last year. What we see today is not any Vaccine Strategy, but a vastly growing Vaccine Fraud – in keeping with the political dominance of the Raja Vasala.
This Vaccine Fraud is the stuff of husbands of Health Power, Ministers of Official Communication, and performers on the political stages of this government. This Vaccine Fraud or Ennath Vanchava will soon dominate the social structure of the country, giving a new meaning to the Saubhagyaye Dekma that is guiding the entire structure of governance today.
With the Colombo Port City Act adopted by a simple majority in parliament, after many items contrary and threatening to the Constitution being suitably altered, thanks to the Supreme Court, we are now in process unveiling the actual politico-economic strategies of this government. A two-day debate for such an important piece of legislation, giving just two days – from the seven days allowed under the law – to file objections in the Supreme Court, and the absence of any wide public discussion and debate on it, shows the government’s overall contempt for democracy.
Far away in Beijing, there must have been a Chinese celebration on the passage of this Act, with plenty of fire-crackers and loud cheers from key members of the Chinese Communist Party. We may soon learn that the Chinese Communisty Party would also donate another 500,000 of a Chinese vaccination to Sri Lanka. Sri Lankans will have to keep a watch as to when the Chinese flags are fully raised over the Colombo Port City, and the Chinese language dominates the name boards, signboards and street signs of this place.
The stuff in the draft law on the Colombo Port City gives the impression it may not have been drafted in Sri Lanka. How could the Attorney General’s Department and/or the Legal Draftsman’s Department have brought in more than Twenty-five violations or clear departures of the Constitution of Sri Lanka? Did the learned in law in the government and the Cabinet of Ministers not know of these huge, and dangerous departures from the Constitution?
Would the learned lawyer and President’s Counsel, Ali Sabry, the Minister of Justice, have missed so many violations of our constitutional process? Or was it silence, to make way for the anti-constitutional thinking of the power that manipulates government policy today – the fingertips of Saubhagyaye Dekma?
We head Professor of Law, Minister G.L. Peiris, who is Minister of Education, tell parliament that this Bill could be passed with a simple majority. He was certainly trying to educate MPs, but how come he glossed over the multiple violations of the Constitution that the original Bill carried?
To get back to the Vaccine Fraud or Ennath Vanchava that we see developing within the government, the Port City Act adopted with such speed and lack of public discussion has all the promise of a huge and disastrous Governmental Fraud – an Aandukrama Vanchava – which moves far away from the democratic principles and processes this country has tried to maintain, with much failures and difficulties since independence in 1948.
The violations of the democratic process we have seen under Sirimavo Bandaranaike, and much worse under J. R. Jayewardene, are now taken to a situation of disaster. Let’s not forget that the Pro-Chinese Port City Law is a complete departure from democracy, launched by the 20th Amendment to the Constitution.
This is a huge fraud in the governmental process, paving the way for a Beijing dominated, Sino-Lankan governance, where Sri Lankan will do much more for China than the Belt and Road Project. It may not be very far when we sing ‘Namo, Namo Cheena”, when we should be singing Namo, Namo, Matha.
The dawn of the Cheena Saubhagyaye Dekma
The post Namo, Namo, Cheena! – Lucine Rajakarunanayake appeared first on Sri Lanka Brief.
Sri Lanka central bank advances more dollars to banks
ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s central bank has advanced a total of 246.1 million dollars to commercial banks by March through swap contracts official data shows, with state banks in particular facing tight conditions.
Sri Lanka’s banks found it more difficult to renew counterparty credit lines as money printed to keep rates down and target an output gap, progressively depleted forex reserves and led to credit downgrades over 2020 and 2021.
By December about 204 million US dollars had been advanced mainly to state banks by the central bank, and more were given later.
Over March another 104.9 million dollars had been advanced by the central bank to banks, taking the total to 246.1 million US dollars.
“If you look at the banking system, all the banks are very stable in terms of capital adequacy,” Central Bank Governor Nandalal Weerasinghe told reporters on April 29.
“Obviously the issue right now is the foreign currency liquidity in the banking system.
“There is a lack of foreign currency liquidity in the banking sector at different levels. So state banks are facing a higher liquidity shortage, and private banks are also facing forex liquidity shortage to a certain extent.
State bank have given dollar loans to the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation during the current and previous currency crises. There were attempts to secure long term loans to back the CPC loans at one time.
Persistently low rupee yields and dollar liquidity shortages in balance sheets of banks led to sharply higher interbank dollar yields in Sri Lanka triggering discounts in the forward and swap markets at different times over the past year.
Governor Weerasinghe said the central bank also had low reserves and the country as a whole was facing dollar liquidity problems due to the overall balance of payments crisis and all the measures now being taken was to address the problem.
Rates have since been hiked and rupee yields have picked up.
Sri Lanka had also sought support from China to get dollar credits to the state banks.
“Minister Ali Sabry discussed the need for FOREX liquidity support for the state banks of Sri Lanka and requested if such can be provided by AIIB,” the Finance Ministry said.
Net open positions of several banks were negative at different times over the past two years, financial sources have said.
Bank have also bought domestic dollar debt with foreign borrowings also face problems when credit lines are not rolled over.
Over the past year many banks repaid market foreign borrowings and raised more dollars from depositors.(Colombo/May09/2022)
Carl Muller – Yakada Yaka
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Sri Lanka plastic recycler gets funding from USA
ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka recycler BPPL said it had received 15 million US dollars from the US International Development Corporation to expand its polyester and monofilament yarn plant which uses waste plastic as the main raw material.
The loan provided by DFC has a 10-year tenure with a three-year grace period and is subject to regulatory approvals.
BPPL will use the funds to double the PET plastic bottle collection centres and increase the company’s bottle washing capacity.
It has 480 waste plastic collection centres now.
It also wants to increase the monofilament capacity by 40 percent and polyester yarn production by 55 percent per annum in the next 4-5 years.
“This serves as a timely boost, assisting BPPL to further enhance many key aspects of our operations. The development that will come about through this initiative will positively impact the country economically, socially and environmentally,” BPPL Holdings PLC Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Anush Amarasinghe said.
The company said the funding will increase the waste plastic collected in the country to approximately 6,000 tons per annum.
“DFC’s investment in BPPL will promote transformative and sustainable development in Sri Lanka,” said DFC Chief Climate Officer Jake Levine.
“Together, DFC’s financing and BPPL’s proven track record will boost economic growth while helping to advance a vision for a circular economy, which is ultimately a critical part of the work to address the climate crisis.” (Colombo/May26/2022)